The number of deaths due to the emerging coronavirus may exceed 74,000 in the United States by August, according to the Washington University Outlook model that is often cited by White House and public health officials.
The model prepared by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations raised its forecast for US death numbers to 74,073 cases by August 4, from 67,000 cases expected last week and 60,000 cases projected two weeks ago.
The latest number is less than about 90,000 Covid-19 deaths in the United States that was expected a month ago.
The number of deaths will jump if the states resume economic activity prematurely, said Christopher Murray, director of the institute.
Several US states have loosened restrictions on companies and others are preparing to do so.
Deaths due to the outbreak exceeded 56,000 cases in the United States
The United States recorded, by a large margin, the highest number in the world of confirmed cases of the virus, which exceeds 993 thousand cases.
The number of HIV infections in the world exceeded 3 million, and the number of deaths exceeded 210,000.